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Red5
305521.9
423810.6
60454.0
Blue71
569028.3
217717.5
400933.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50570100150571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3055
#32
21.94.9
18.613.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 12.0
33.91.3
25.426.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End5.6
Second
4238
#41
10.64.9
18.013.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 17.7
28.31.3
16.918.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
Third
6045
#63
4.04.9
12.97.9
Auto0.6
Teleop3.2
End0.2
blue by 13.4
2177
#25
17.51.3
12.413.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed