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Red92
305521.9
569028.3
205236.4
Blue72
605623.3
469323.5
460722.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65520204060801009272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#15
36.42.3
29.431.7
Auto7.3
Teleop23.8
End5.3
red by 12.9
4693
#28
23.52.2
17.219.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.2
End4.7
Second
28.32.3
18.120.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 4.9
6056
#22
23.32.2
19.021.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End7.1
Third
3055
#32
21.92.3
13.716.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
blue by 0.5
4607
#48
22.42.2
16.218.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed