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Red60
226420.2
453924.4
423023.5
Blue45
282324.7
501917.1
423810.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574702040806045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.2
23.123.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 0.3
2823
#16
24.71.4
19.818.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
4230
#13
23.50.2
16.216.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End4.5
red by 6.3
5019
#44
17.11.4
14.513.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
2264
#23
20.20.2
14.314.4
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End2.4
red by 9.7
4238
#41
10.61.4
13.111.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed