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Red181
313041.9
217536.7
304231.5
Blue96
223919.1
582627.0
421525.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146835010020018196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.2
42.642.8
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End7.2
red by 14.9
27.00.1
27.527.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Second
36.70.2
37.437.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
red by 11.1
4215
#19
25.60.1
26.126.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Third
3042
#28
31.50.2
32.232.4
Auto8.9
Teleop16.1
End6.5
red by 12.3
2239
#47
19.10.1
19.619.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7