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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red78
392834.9
477830.1
302632.8
Blue133
96730.2
216932.1
423925.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123105608014016018078133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#15
34.90.6
34.9→34.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
red by 2.8
2169
#6
32.10.2
31.5→31.7
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
3026
#20
32.80.6
32.8→32.2
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End3.2
red by 2.5
967
#14
30.20.2
29.7→29.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
Third
4778
#5
30.10.8
30.9→30.1
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
red by 4.5
4239
#18
25.60.2
24.8→25.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End4.3