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Red135
557641.2
363330.3
16732.6
Blue95
219436.8
282637.2
257425.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912810011012014015013595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.20.1
41.841.9
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
red by 4.0
37.20.6
38.738.1
Auto7.6
Teleop24.0
End5.6
Second
167
#13
32.60.1
32.532.6
Auto11.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
blue by 4.2
2194
#12
36.80.6
38.337.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
Third
30.30.1
30.931.0
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 5.0
2574
#42
25.40.6
26.926.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End4.1