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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red113
392834.9
222527.1
302632.8
Blue112
96730.2
216932.1
423925.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115107406080100140160180200113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#15
34.90.0
34.3→34.3
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
red by 2.8
2169
#6
32.10.1
31.7→31.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
3026
#20
32.80.0
32.2→32.2
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End3.2
red by 2.5
967
#14
30.20.1
29.8→29.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
Third
2225
#16
27.10.0
26.3→26.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End4.7
red by 1.4
4239
#18
25.60.2
25.0→25.2
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End4.3