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Semifinal 2-22016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red81
557641.2
363330.3
562629.2
Blue148
219436.8
282637.2
257425.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261279010011012013014015081148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.20.5
41.9→41.4
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
red by 4.0
2826
#4
37.20.1
38.1→38.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.0
End5.6
Second
3633
#3
30.30.5
31.0→30.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
blue by 6.5
2194
#12
36.80.1
37.7→37.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
Third
5626
#17
29.20.7
30.2→29.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
red by 3.8
2574
#42
25.40.1
26.2→26.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End4.1