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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red160
557641.2
363330.3
16732.6
Blue40
460722.8
327527.9
388331.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210240608012014016018020016040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.20.1
41.5→41.6
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
red by 9.5
3883
#11
31.81.2
33.1→31.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Second
167
#13
32.60.1
32.2→32.3
Auto11.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
red by 4.6
3275
#8
27.91.7
29.8→28.2
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Third
3633
#3
30.30.1
30.6→30.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
red by 7.5
4607
#44
22.81.2
24.2→23.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End4.1