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Semifinal 2-32016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red117
557641.2
363330.3
562629.2
Blue127
219436.8
282637.2
257425.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124127050100150200250117127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.20.2
41.4→41.2
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
red by 4.0
2826
#4
37.20.2
38.0→37.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.0
End5.6
Second
3633
#3
30.30.2
30.5→30.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
blue by 6.5
2194
#12
36.80.2
37.6→37.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
Third
5626
#17
29.20.3
29.5→29.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
red by 3.8
2574
#42
25.40.2
26.1→25.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End4.1