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Red90
214322.9
448016.9
557641.2
Blue91
282637.2
55419.9
363330.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64722040801009091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.22.2
30.432.6
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
red by 4.0
37.21.0
34.935.9
Auto7.6
Teleop24.0
End5.6
Second
2143
#39
22.93.0
16.019.0
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
blue by 7.4
30.31.0
24.425.4
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Third
4480
#60
16.93.0
16.719.7
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
red by 7.0
5541
#49
9.91.0
9.510.5
Auto1.4
Teleop8.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed