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Red80
388331.8
582627.0
320622.4
Blue62
219436.8
312214.8
468725.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61750501001508062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#11
31.81.4
27.428.8
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6
blue by 5.0
2194
#12
36.81.1
36.335.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
Second
27.09.3
27.017.7
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
red by 2.0
4687
#33
25.01.6
17.916.3
Auto10.5
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Third
3206
#22
22.42.1
18.320.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
red by 7.6
3122
#38
14.81.6
16.815.2
Auto1.2
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed