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Red34
460722.8
212914.4
309021.1
Blue70
369114.5
249125.7
392629.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58593040507080903470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#44
22.82.4
22.420.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End4.1
blue by 7.0
29.80.6
16.917.5
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Second
3090
#43
21.12.8
18.615.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
blue by 4.6
2491
#27
25.70.6
20.120.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.8
Third
2129
#37
14.42.8
17.915.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 0.1
3691
#48
14.50.6
17.718.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed