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Red70
254918.7
361015.3
421525.6
Blue0
212914.4
245018.8
220711.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60500100150200250700

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4215
#19
25.61.9
19.017.2
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
red by 6.8
2450
#51
18.85.6
17.712.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End4.0
Second
2549
#24
18.71.9
17.215.4
Auto8.2
Teleop7.8
End2.6
red by 4.3
2129
#37
14.45.6
15.19.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
3610
#32
15.31.9
20.518.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.0
End1.0
red by 3.7
2207
#59
11.65.6
17.511.9
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed