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Red76
16732.6
219436.8
252514.8
Blue57
327733.7
309021.1
302317.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82630501001502007657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#12
36.80.1
35.235.1
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
red by 3.1
3277
#29
33.70.6
32.331.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Second
167
#13
32.60.1
28.128.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
red by 11.5
3090
#43
21.10.8
15.815.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Third
2525
#57
14.80.1
13.613.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 2.4
3023
#36
17.20.8
15.915.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed