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Red68
533922.6
266723.8
249125.7
Blue37
427720.4
312214.8
448016.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801001201406837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#27
25.70.5
20.721.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.8
red by 5.3
4277
#46
20.41.6
16.414.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End3.1
Second
2667
#21
23.80.6
18.819.4
Auto5.8
Teleop14.4
End3.5
red by 6.9
4480
#60
16.91.6
19.718.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Third
5339
#31
22.60.6
18.118.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End4.8
red by 7.8
3122
#38
14.81.6
15.213.7
Auto1.2
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed