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Red77
217536.7
217719.9
214322.9
Blue74
466324.8
460722.8
464821.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705201001502007774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.9
29.330.2
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
red by 11.9
4663
#30
24.82.4
16.719.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Second
2143
#39
22.91.3
19.020.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
Level
4607
#44
22.81.9
20.021.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End4.1
Third
2177
#35
19.91.1
16.817.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 1.5
4648
#41
21.42.4
16.118.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned29%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed