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Qual 192016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red88
96730.2
582627.0
363330.3
Blue72
282637.2
591418.2
265420.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676940506080908872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#3
30.31.6
25.4→27.0
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
blue by 6.9
2826
#4
37.20.4
35.9→36.3
Auto7.6
Teleop24.0
End5.6
Second
967
#14
30.21.6
23.2→24.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
red by 10.1
2654
#50
20.20.7
14.7→15.3
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Third
5826
#9
27.02.4
17.7→20.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
red by 8.8
5914
#34
18.20.7
15.5→16.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed