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Red40
427720.4
217719.9
220711.6
Blue78
309021.1
582627.0
327527.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459020801004078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4277
#46
20.40.5
14.814.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End3.1
blue by 7.6
27.92.0
20.222.1
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Second
2177
#35
19.90.4
17.817.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 7.1
27.02.0
20.122.1
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Third
2207
#59
11.60.5
11.911.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.8
blue by 9.5
3090
#43
21.12.0
15.117.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed