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Red76
282637.2
422514.4
223919.1
Blue104
423925.6
392629.8
219436.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7176020406010012014016076104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
36.436.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.0
End5.6
red by 0.4
2194
#12
36.81.7
36.438.1
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
Second
2239
#47
19.10.6
21.221.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.7
End1.7
blue by 10.7
29.82.9
19.121.9
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Third
4225
#56
14.40.6
12.613.2
Auto1.7
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 11.2
4239
#18
25.62.9
17.820.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed