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Red52
55419.9
384826.8
220711.6
Blue108
320622.4
533922.6
327733.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37840206010012014016052108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3848
#26
26.81.0
19.520.5
Auto5.4
Teleop17.3
End4.2
blue by 6.9
3277
#29
33.70.6
32.833.3
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Second
2207
#59
11.61.0
13.414.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.8
blue by 11.0
5339
#31
22.60.9
22.323.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Third
5541
#49
9.90.6
10.210.8
Auto1.4
Teleop8.7
End-0.2
blue by 12.5
3206
#22
22.40.9
19.620.6
Auto5.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed