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Red49
527519.6
460722.8
422514.4
Blue92
309021.1
266723.8
96730.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53700204060801001204992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#44
22.80.3
23.723.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End4.1
blue by 7.4
967
#14
30.21.4
27.528.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
Second
5275
#52
19.60.6
17.316.7
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End4.1
blue by 4.2
2667
#21
23.82.4
22.224.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.4
End3.5
Third
4225
#56
14.40.6
13.212.7
Auto1.7
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 6.7
3090
#43
21.12.4
15.718.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed