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Red105
219436.8
363330.3
313422.7
Blue110
212914.4
16732.6
313041.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93750204060100120140160105110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#12
36.80.8
38.139.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
blue by 5.1
41.92.3
35.938.3
Auto15.8
Teleop18.9
End7.2
Second
30.30.8
28.229.0
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
blue by 2.3
167
#13
32.62.3
28.831.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
Third
3134
#23
22.71.4
21.122.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End6.3
red by 8.4
2129
#37
14.43.9
10.314.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed