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Red51
463215.8
369114.5
214322.9
Blue63
423925.6
468725.0
260618.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56592040801005163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#39
22.90.4
23.423.0
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
blue by 2.7
4239
#18
25.60.7
20.721.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Second
4632
#54
15.80.4
16.716.3
Auto2.0
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 9.3
4687
#33
25.00.7
20.020.7
Auto10.5
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Third
3691
#48
14.50.4
14.614.2
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End1.8
blue by 4.1
2606
#40
18.60.7
15.916.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed