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Qual 482016 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red71
467421.3
312214.8
477830.1
Blue62
217719.9
448016.9
245018.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595302040801007162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#5
30.11.6
25.2→26.8
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
red by 10.2
2177
#35
19.90.7
18.3→19.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Second
4674
#25
21.31.6
19.2→20.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 2.5
2450
#51
18.81.1
15.4→16.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End4.0
Third
3122
#38
14.81.6
12.2→13.8
Auto1.2
Teleop12.2
End1.4
blue by 2.1
4480
#60
16.91.1
18.4→19.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed