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Red107
222527.1
392834.9
562629.2
Blue78
582627.0
591418.2
466324.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906105010015010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#15
34.91.3
36.637.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
red by 7.8
27.01.6
22.223.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Second
5626
#17
29.22.1
24.426.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.0
End5.6
red by 4.4
4663
#30
24.81.6
24.025.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Third
2225
#16
27.12.1
22.024.1
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End4.7
red by 8.9
5914
#34
18.21.6
17.018.6
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed