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Red105
427720.4
557641.2
392629.8
Blue75
260618.6
527519.6
96730.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866005010015020010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#10
41.21.7
38.340.0
Auto8.2
Teleop24.6
End8.5
red by 11.0
967
#14
30.20.9
28.929.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.9
End4.3
Second
29.82.8
24.026.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End5.9
red by 10.3
5275
#52
19.61.4
16.718.1
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End4.1
Third
4277
#46
20.42.8
17.720.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End3.1
red by 1.8
2606
#40
18.61.4
16.618.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed