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Red69
55419.9
219436.8
212914.4
Blue45
217719.9
265420.2
463215.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685601001506945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#12
36.80.3
39.039.3
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End8.0
red by 16.6
2654
#50
20.21.3
21.119.9
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End2.4
Second
2129
#37
14.40.6
14.214.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 5.5
2177
#35
19.90.8
19.018.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Third
5541
#49
9.90.3
10.811.1
Auto1.4
Teleop8.7
End-0.2
blue by 5.9
4632
#54
15.81.3
16.315.0
Auto2.0
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed