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Red91
313422.7
217536.7
582627.0
Blue79
304231.5
257425.4
422514.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86692040601001201401609179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.3
34.735.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End4.0
red by 5.3
3042
#28
31.50.7
30.831.5
Auto8.9
Teleop16.1
End6.5
Second
27.00.5
23.924.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
red by 1.7
2574
#42
25.40.7
25.626.3
Auto6.4
Teleop14.8
End4.1
Third
3134
#23
22.70.5
22.523.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End6.3
red by 8.3
4225
#56
14.41.1
12.713.8
Auto1.7
Teleop10.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed