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Red68
533922.6
527519.6
265420.2
Blue93
327527.9
16732.6
214322.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578802040801001201401606893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5339
#31
22.60.9
22.022.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End4.8
blue by 10.0
167
#13
32.60.5
31.331.8
Auto11.0
Teleop16.7
End4.8
Second
2654
#50
20.20.9
19.920.8
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 7.8
27.90.8
27.528.3
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End5.4
Third
5275
#52
19.60.9
18.119.0
Auto2.0
Teleop13.5
End4.1
blue by 3.3
2143
#39
22.90.8
21.822.6
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned