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Red77
302632.8
463215.8
254918.7
Blue69
599116.1
460722.8
582627.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646450607080907769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
#20
32.80.9
31.332.2
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End3.2
red by 5.7
27.00.8
24.425.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.0
End4.7
Second
2549
#24
18.71.6
16.518.0
Auto8.2
Teleop7.8
End2.6
blue by 4.2
4607
#44
22.80.5
22.723.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.9
End4.1
Third
4632
#54
15.81.6
15.016.6
Auto2.0
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 0.3
5991
#45
16.10.8
14.415.2
Auto1.8
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed