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Red73
313422.7
421525.6
249125.7
Blue90
216932.1
217719.9
222527.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7575607080901007390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#27
25.70.4
24.724.3
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End3.8
blue by 6.4
32.11.1
31.933.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Second
4215
#19
25.60.6
25.625.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
blue by 1.5
2225
#16
27.11.9
23.024.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End4.7
Third
3134
#23
22.70.6
23.022.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End6.3
red by 2.8
2177
#35
19.91.1
18.219.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed