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Red160
52547.1
205244.8
301821.4
Blue115
453631.2
284635.3
599620.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14410450200250160115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
47.10.1
47.247.1
Auto12.4
Teleop26.5
End8.3
red by 11.9
35.30.2
35.535.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Second
44.80.1
44.944.8
Auto10.1
Teleop29.9
End4.9
red by 13.6
31.20.2
31.431.2
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Third
3018
#41
21.40.1
21.521.4
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 0.7
5996
#21
20.70.3
21.020.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1