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Red185
52547.1
205244.8
301821.4
Blue113
453631.2
284635.3
599620.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210450200250185113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
47.10.4
46.847.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.5
End8.3
red by 11.9
35.30.1
35.335.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Second
44.80.4
44.544.9
Auto10.1
Teleop29.9
End4.9
red by 13.6
31.20.1
31.331.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Third
3018
#41
21.40.4
21.121.5
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 0.7
5996
#21
20.70.2
20.821.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1