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Red123
453631.2
284635.3
599620.7
Blue112
363031.9
249829.7
375125.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810890100120130123112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.2
34.935.1
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
red by 3.4
31.90.1
31.831.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Second
31.20.2
30.831.0
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
red by 1.5
29.70.1
29.629.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Third
5996
#21
20.70.2
20.220.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1
blue by 4.8
3751
#24
25.50.2
25.325.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End3.1