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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Minnesota 10000 Lakes Regional
Red145
453631.2
284635.3
599620.7
Blue103
363031.9
249829.7
375125.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107109708090100120130140150145103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#4
35.30.2
34.7→34.9
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
red by 3.4
3630
#9
31.90.1
31.9→31.8
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Second
4536
#5
31.20.2
30.6→30.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
red by 1.5
2498
#8
29.70.1
29.7→29.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Third
5996
#21
20.70.3
19.9→20.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1
blue by 4.8
3751
#24
25.50.1
25.5→25.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End3.1