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Quarterfinal 3-32016 Minnesota 10000 Lakes Regional
Red113
319727.3
543439.1
251518.5
Blue105
285524.4
420725.0
324426.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11194406080120140160180200113105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#3
39.10.0
40.3→40.3
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 12.3
3244
#15
26.90.1
26.7→26.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
3197
#11
27.30.0
28.1→28.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 2.3
4207
#17
25.00.1
24.9→25.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
2515
#16
18.50.0
19.6→19.6
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End3.2
blue by 5.9
2855
#12
24.40.1
24.3→24.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8