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Red137
250234.3
282331.0
303827.4
Blue114
318426.9
527130.1
310020.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169050100150200137114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#13
34.30.4
34.234.6
Auto8.6
Teleop22.1
End3.6
red by 4.2
30.10.6
29.630.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End5.6
Second
31.00.4
31.331.7
Auto13.8
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 4.1
3184
#28
26.90.4
26.426.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
3038
#20
27.40.6
27.928.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 7.3
3100
#34
20.10.6
19.520.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1