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Red110
319727.3
543439.1
251518.5
Blue120
453631.2
284635.3
599620.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910895100105115120125130110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.1
40.340.2
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 3.9
35.30.2
35.135.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Second
3197
#11
27.30.1
28.128.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
blue by 3.9
31.20.2
31.031.2
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Third
2515
#16
18.50.1
19.619.5
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End3.2
blue by 2.2
5996
#21
20.70.3
20.420.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1