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Red80
254522.7
534012.1
310020.1
Blue50
563714.5
599620.7
329218.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455802040801001208050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2545
#50
22.72.1
17.920.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 2.0
5996
#21
20.70.5
18.518.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Second
3100
#34
20.12.1
14.016.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 1.4
3292
#47
18.80.5
19.318.7
Auto2.1
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
5340
#62
12.12.1
14.016.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End-0.7
blue by 2.4
5637
#46
14.50.5
16.916.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed