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Red107
248022.6
543439.1
420725.0
Blue61
383919.8
251324.4
251122.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6560020408010012014016010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.14.4
26.230.6
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 14.7
2513
#43
24.40.3
18.318.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End5.6
Second
4207
#17
25.04.4
18.222.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 2.2
2511
#55
22.80.3
21.421.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Third
2480
#22
22.64.4
17.922.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.4
End3.5
red by 2.8
3839
#45
19.80.3
19.019.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed