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Red73
305822.8
251518.5
285524.4
Blue95
282331.0
466423.2
303618.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595602040801001207395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#12
24.40.7
21.321.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
blue by 6.6
31.03.0
24.327.3
Auto13.8
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
3058
#31
22.80.7
17.918.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 0.4
4664
#18
23.24.5
16.521.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Third
2515
#16
18.50.7
17.818.4
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End3.2
red by 0.1
3036
#53
18.44.5
13.818.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed