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Red50
376516.1
451115.9
419823.2
Blue54
340712.7
270520.7
287918.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475802040801001201405054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#42
23.20.2
18.018.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 2.6
2705
#37
20.70.4
25.224.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Second
3765
#59
16.10.2
12.913.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 2.3
2879
#49
18.40.7
17.016.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.8
Third
4511
#57
15.90.2
16.917.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.5
red by 3.2
3407
#56
12.70.7
13.012.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed