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Red75
422919.1
249829.7
218127.1
Blue72
529011.9
284635.3
324426.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667102040801001201401607572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.7
29.129.8
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
blue by 5.6
35.30.3
32.032.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Second
2181
#14
27.11.2
20.721.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
red by 0.2
3244
#15
26.90.4
21.221.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Third
4229
#36
19.11.2
14.816.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 7.2
5290
#61
11.90.4
14.815.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed