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Red60
375125.5
247018.7
454921.8
Blue63
301821.4
453631.2
252917.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62770501001506063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3751
#24
25.50.3
23.923.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 5.7
31.20.6
32.431.8
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Second
4549
#10
21.80.2
19.219.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.6
End4.2
red by 0.4
3018
#41
21.40.6
22.321.6
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Third
2470
#19
18.70.2
19.819.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 1.0
2529
#27
17.81.1
18.016.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed