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Red90
319727.3
363031.9
282331.0
Blue50
250922.3
329218.8
345416.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934701509050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.1
30.130.2
Auto11.3
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 9.6
2509
#35
22.30.1
18.318.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End5.5
Second
31.00.1
27.327.4
Auto13.8
Teleop14.4
End2.8
red by 12.2
3292
#47
18.80.2
18.718.5
Auto2.1
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Third
3197
#11
27.30.1
26.426.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
red by 11.1
3454
#52
16.30.2
15.214.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed