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Red80
527813.0
303827.4
420725.0
Blue107
310020.1
248022.6
205244.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638505010015080107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#20
27.40.6
25.526.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
blue by 17.4
44.81.2
41.142.3
Auto10.1
Teleop29.9
End4.9
Second
4207
#17
25.00.6
22.623.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 2.4
2480
#22
22.61.9
22.324.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.4
End3.5
Third
5278
#63
13.00.6
16.417.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 7.1
3100
#34
20.11.9
16.118.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed