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Qual 502016 Minnesota 10000 Lakes Regional
Red49
301821.4
254522.7
287918.4
Blue61
529011.9
251518.5
453631.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586902040801001204961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2545
#50
22.71.0
20.0→19.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 8.5
4536
#5
31.20.3
31.8→31.5
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End5.6
Second
3018
#41
21.40.6
21.6→21.0
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 3.0
2515
#16
18.50.5
18.4→17.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Third
2879
#49
18.41.0
16.3→15.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.8
red by 6.5
5290
#61
11.90.5
15.3→14.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed