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Red32
563714.5
329915.6
300724.4
Blue50
251815.9
324426.9
383919.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65583040507080901003250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3007
#23
24.43.3
27.123.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End6.8
blue by 2.4
3244
#15
26.90.9
21.620.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
3299
#38
15.63.3
18.415.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 4.2
3839
#45
19.80.9
19.218.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.3
End3.2
Third
5637
#46
14.53.3
16.413.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End2.5
blue by 1.4
2518
#48
15.90.9
16.816.0
Auto7.7
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed