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Red72
223221.9
376516.1
250129.7
Blue82
284635.3
466423.2
599620.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67754060801001207282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2501
#54
29.70.1
30.330.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
blue by 5.6
35.30.0
32.332.3
Auto11.1
Teleop18.2
End6.0
Second
2232
#32
21.90.1
22.622.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.7
End4.7
blue by 1.3
4664
#18
23.20.1
21.021.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Third
3765
#59
16.10.1
13.213.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End2.1
blue by 4.6
5996
#21
20.70.1
18.018.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed